SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 62.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 17.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 1-0 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Chelsea Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
62.29% ( 4.39) | 19.82% ( -1.28) | 17.89% ( -3.1) |
| Both teams to score 58.74% ( -0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.37% ( 1.26) | 36.63% ( -1.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.22% ( 1.36) | 58.79% ( -1.35) |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.71% ( 1.62) | 11.29% ( -1.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.08% ( 3.41) | 35.92% ( -3.4) |
| Chelsea Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.21% ( -2.35) | 33.79% ( 2.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.55% ( -2.63) | 70.46% ( 2.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford United | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.57)1-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.44)3-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.79)4-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.46)3-2 @ 3.88% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.63)4-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.13)5-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.29)5-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.35)5-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.11)Other @ 3.59% Total : 62.3% | 1-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.58) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.35)0-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.24)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.23% Total : 19.82% | 1-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.66) 0-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.55)0-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.47)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.26)1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.37)Other @ 2.9% Total : 17.89% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
