SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City Under-21s win with a probability of 56.82%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 22.23% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.83%) and 1-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Leicester City Under-21s in this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City Under-21s | Draw | Derby County Under-21s |
56.82% ( -0.1) | 20.96% ( 0.06) | 22.23% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 62.17% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.49% ( -0.24) | 35.51% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.44% ( -0.26) | 57.56% ( 0.27) |
| Leicester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.55% ( -0.1) | 12.45% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.61% ( -0.22) | 38.39% ( 0.22) |
| Derby County Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.01% ( -0.1) | 28.99% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.12% ( -0.12) | 64.88% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City Under-21s | Draw | Derby County Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.44% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.36% Total : 56.82% | 1-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 20.96% | 1-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 3.22% Total : 22.23% |
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