SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion Under-21s win with a probability of 69.81%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 14.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.08%), while for a Derby County Under-21s win it was 2-1 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derby County Under-21s | Draw | West Bromwich Albion Under-21s |
14.46% ( -0.93) | 15.73% ( -0.72) | 69.81% ( 1.65) |
| Both teams to score 66.98% ( 0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.95% ( 1.61) | 23.05% ( -1.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 57.68% ( 2.14) | 42.32% ( -2.14) |
| Derby County Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.29% ( 0.1) | 28.71% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.46% ( 0.12) | 64.54% ( -0.11) |
| West Bromwich Albion Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.95% ( 0.68) | 6.05% ( -0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.98% ( 1.87) | 23.03% ( -1.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derby County Under-21s | Draw | West Bromwich Albion Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.26) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.15)Other @ 3.35% Total : 14.46% | 1-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.43) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.52% Total : 15.73% | 1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 7.97% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 6.39% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 5.59% ( 0.26)2-3 @ 4.98% ( 0.06)0-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.36)0-4 @ 4.48% ( 0.2)2-4 @ 3.49% ( 0.17)1-5 @ 3.14% ( 0.26)0-5 @ 2.51% ( 0.2)2-5 @ 1.96% ( 0.17)1-6 @ 1.47% ( 0.17)3-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.07)0-6 @ 1.18% ( 0.14)2-6 @ 0.92% ( 0.11)Other @ 4.06% Total : 69.81% |
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