SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 53.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 21.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City | Draw | Millwall |
53.97% ( -1.7) | 24.35% ( 0.73) | 21.68% ( 0.98) |
| Both teams to score 50% ( -0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.76% ( -1.8) | 51.24% ( 1.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.93% ( -1.6) | 73.07% ( 1.6) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.09% ( -1.31) | 18.91% ( 1.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.59% ( -2.23) | 50.41% ( 2.24) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.67% ( -0.03) | 38.33% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.91% ( -0.03) | 75.09% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City | Draw | Millwall |
| 1-0 @ 12.07% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.12)2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.31)3-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.3)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.24)4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.23)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.08% Total : 53.96% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.51)2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.35% | 0-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.53% Total : 21.68% |
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