SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Southampton |
37.84% ( -0.01) | 25.58% ( 0.01) | 36.58% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 55.69% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.69% ( -0.03) | 48.31% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.54% ( -0.03) | 70.46% ( 0.03) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.98% ( -0.02) | 25.02% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.31% ( -0.03) | 59.69% ( 0.03) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.28% ( -0.01) | 25.72% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.35% ( -0.02) | 60.65% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Millwall | Draw | Southampton |
| 1-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.18% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.76% Total : 37.84% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.22% 0-2 @ 5.93% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 36.58% |
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