SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
41.27% ( 0.07) | 26.13% ( -0) | 32.6% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 53.1% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.68% ( -0) | 51.31% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.86% ( -0) | 73.14% ( 0) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.42% ( 0.03) | 24.57% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.94% ( 0.05) | 59.06% ( -0.05) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.4% ( -0.05) | 29.59% ( 0.05) |
