Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Aston Villa in this match.
-0.04) 
0.05) 
