SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Aston Villa in this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City | Draw | Aston Villa |
41.8% ( -0.04) | 25.96% ( -0.01) | 32.24% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.54% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.3% ( 0.05) | 50.7% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.4% ( 0.04) | 72.6% ( -0.04) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.97% ( 0) | 24.03% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.71% | 58.29% |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.47% ( 0.06) | 29.53% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.45% ( 0.07) | 65.55% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 1-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.18% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 1.89% Total : 41.8% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 8.65% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 32.24% |
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