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Premier League | Gameweek 28
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Molineux
LL

Wolves
2 - 4
Leeds

Castro (65'), Cunha (73')
Dawson (37'), Semedo (53'), Gomes (87')
Castro (84'), Nunes (90+10')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Harrison (6'), Ayling (49'), Kristensen (62'), Rodrigo (90+7')
Ayling (24'), McKennie (45+3'), Firpo (45+2'), Roca (75'), Meslier (90+12')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 2-1 Wolves
Sunday, March 12 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leeds 2-2 Brighton
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawLeeds United
40.96% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 25.7% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 33.34% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 54.75% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.71% (-0.113 -0.11)49.29% (0.12 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.65% (-0.101 -0.1)71.34% (0.107 0.11)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.17% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)23.83% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.99% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)58.01% (0.052 0.05)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.88% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)28.12% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.21% (-0.117 -0.12)63.79% (0.126 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 40.96%
    Leeds United 33.34%
    Draw 25.7%
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 9.61% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.74% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.89% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 40.96%
1-1 @ 12.19% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.7% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 8.5% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.28% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 33.34%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Newcastle 2-1 Wolves
Sunday, March 12 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 1-0 Spurs
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Wolves
Wednesday, March 1 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 1-1 Wolves
Friday, February 24 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 0-1 Bournemouth
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 1-2 Wolves
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leeds 2-2 Brighton
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 1-0 Leeds
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 2-0 Leeds
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Leeds 1-0 Southampton
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 1-0 Leeds
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leeds 0-2 Man Utd
Sunday, February 12 at 2pm in Premier League


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