Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 79.73%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 7.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 3-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.39%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-2 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Manchester City | Draw | Leicester City |
79.73% (![]() | 12.33% (![]() | 7.94% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.32% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.96% (![]() | 25.04% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
55.03% (![]() | 44.97% (![]() |
Manchester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.13% (![]() | 4.88% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
80.4% (![]() | 19.6% (![]() |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.2% (![]() | 40.8% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.62% | 77.38% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Manchester City | Draw | Leicester City |
3-0 @ 9.14% 2-0 @ 9.08% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 8.19% 2-1 @ 8.14% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 6.9% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 6.19% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 6.01% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 4.17% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 3.74% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.67% 4-2 @ 2.77% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.88% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.68% ( ![]() 7-0 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 5.16% Total : 79.73% | 1-1 @ 5.39% (![]() 2-2 @ 3.65% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.21% Total : 12.33% | 1-2 @ 2.42% (![]() 0-1 @ 1.78% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 2.66% Total : 7.95% |
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