SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 58%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 18.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
58% ( -0.18) | 23.86% ( 0.1) | 18.13% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 46.1% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.36% ( -0.27) | 53.63% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.87% ( -0.22) | 75.13% ( 0.22) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.71% ( -0.17) | 18.29% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.64% ( -0.28) | 49.36% ( 0.28) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.41% ( -0.06) | 43.58% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.22% ( -0.05) | 79.78% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 13.54% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 11.5% 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.27% Total : 57.99% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.68% Total : 23.86% | 0-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.29% 2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.7% Total : 18.13% |
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