SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City | Draw | Chelsea |
30.39% ( 0.04) | 25.85% ( -0) | 43.75% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.09% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.08% ( 0.03) | 50.91% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.21% ( 0.02) | 72.79% ( -0.03) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.1% ( 0.04) | 30.89% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.82% ( 0.04) | 67.18% ( -0.05) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.83% ( -0.01) | 23.17% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.95% ( -0.01) | 57.05% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City | Draw | Chelsea |
| 1-0 @ 8.41% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.94% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.83% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.93% ( 0)Other @ 3% Total : 30.39% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 10.46% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.99% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.38% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.36% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 43.74% |
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