SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool Women win with a probability of 49.6%. A win for Leicester Women had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.4%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Leicester Women win was 2-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester Women | Draw | Liverpool Women |
27.88% ( 0.7) | 22.52% ( 0.32) | 49.6% ( -1.01) |
| Both teams to score 62.86% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.65% ( -0.98) | 37.35% ( 0.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.43% ( -1.06) | 59.56% ( 1.06) |
| Leicester Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.27% ( -0.04) | 25.73% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.35% ( -0.05) | 60.65% ( 0.05) |
| Liverpool Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.64% ( -0.7) | 15.36% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.86% ( -1.33) | 44.14% ( 1.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester Women | Draw | Liverpool Women |
| 2-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.25)2-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 27.88% | 1-1 @ 10.05% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.52% | 1-2 @ 9.41% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.88% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 2.75% ( -0.15)0-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.1)1-5 @ 1.03% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.97% Total : 49.6% |
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