Women's Super League | Gameweek 5
Nov 5, 2023 at 2pm UK
Prenton Park
We said: Liverpool Women 1-2 Leicester Women
With both teams level on seven points, Sunday's meeting is likely to produce a closely-fought contest, but the Foxes will draw inspiration from their recent head-to-head record, and we think that they will do enough to claim a narrow victory.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool Women win with a probability of 58.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Leicester Women had a probability of 18.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Leicester Women win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool Women would win this match.
Result |
Liverpool Women | Draw | Leicester Women |
58.64% ( -0.44) | 22.54% ( 0.19) | 18.82% ( 0.25) |
Both teams to score 51.21% ( -0.15) |
52.58% ( -0.42) | 47.41% ( 0.42) |
30.37% ( -0.39) | 69.63% ( 0.39) |
84.16% ( -0.29) | 15.84% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.97% ( -0.54) | 45.02% ( 0.53) |
60.85% ( 0.03) | 39.15% ( -0.03) |