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Women's Super League | Gameweek 18
Mar 30, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Poundland Bescot Stadium

Aston Villa
2 - 2
Leicester Women

Leon (26'), Daly (75')
Corsie (16'), Lehmann (24'), Nobbs (55')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Momiki (28'), Tierney (56')
Pelgander (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 1-3 Arsenal Women
Sunday, March 24 at 7.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Leicester Women 2-3 Brighton Women
Sunday, March 24 at 3pm in Women's Super League

We said: Aston Villa Women 2-1 Leicester Women

Aston Villa may have experienced disappointment last weekend, but they usually fare well in their meetings with Leicester. Having won all five of their WSL matches against the Foxes, we think that the Villans will continue that fine run by claiming a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Leicester Women had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.23%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Leicester Women win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Aston Villa WomenDrawLeicester Women
46.1% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 22.28% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 31.62% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 66.33% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.14% (0.072000000000003 0.07)33.85% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.3% (0.080999999999996 0.08)55.7% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.71% (0.040999999999997 0.04)15.28% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56% (0.076999999999998 0.08)43.99% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Leicester Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.3% (0.022000000000006 0.02)21.7% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.15% (0.034999999999997 0.03)54.85% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Women 46.1%
    Leicester Women 31.62%
    Draw 22.28%
Aston Villa WomenDrawLeicester Women
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 6.23% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.85% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.6% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.28% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.01% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.72% (0.004 0)
4-3 @ 1.02% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 46.1%
1-1 @ 9.52% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.83% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 3.32% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.18% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 22.28%
1-2 @ 7.27% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.07% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.87% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 3.48% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.42% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.33% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 31.62%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-3 Arsenal Women
Sunday, March 24 at 7.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Everton Ladies 1-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, March 16 at 1pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-4 Liverpool Women
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Spurs Ladies 1-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-2 Bristol Women
Saturday, February 3 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man Utd Women 2-1 Aston Villa
Sunday, January 28 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Leicester Women 2-3 Brighton Women
Sunday, March 24 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Spurs Ladies 1-0 Leicester Women
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Leicester Women 0-4 Chelsea Women
Sunday, March 3 at 6pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Leicester Women 5-2 Bristol Women
Sunday, February 18 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City Women 2-0 Leicester Women
Sunday, February 4 at 1pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Everton Ladies 0-1 Leicester Women
Sunday, January 28 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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