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Women's Super League | Gameweek 20
Apr 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
King Power Stadium

Leicester Women
0 - 1
Man Utd Women


Bott (90+13')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Toone (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Leicester Women 1-2 Manchester United Women

Although Man United have struggled for consistency this season, they have won both of their WSL away games against Leicester, and we think that they will do enough to pick up a narrow win on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 55.91%. A win for Leicester Women had a probability of 24.24% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.84%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Leicester Women win was 2-1 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.

Result
Leicester WomenDrawManchester United Women
24.24% (0.326 0.33) 19.86% (0.104 0.1) 55.91% (-0.429 -0.43)
Both teams to score 69.16% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.37% (-0.161 -0.16)27.63% (0.16 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.71% (-0.204 -0.2)48.29% (0.203 0.2)
Leicester Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77% (0.131 0.13)23.01% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.19% (0.194 0.19)56.81% (-0.194 -0.19)
Manchester United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.82% (-0.157 -0.16)10.18% (0.158 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.56% (-0.361 -0.36)33.44% (0.361 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Leicester Women 24.24%
    Manchester United Women 55.91%
    Draw 19.86%
Leicester WomenDrawManchester United Women
2-1 @ 5.78% (0.062 0.06)
1-0 @ 3.44% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.23% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.83% (0.042 0.04)
2-0 @ 2.53% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.24% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.04% (0.02 0.02)
4-3 @ 0.91% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 24.24%
1-1 @ 7.86% (0.054 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.6% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 2.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 2.34% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 19.86%
1-2 @ 8.98% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 6.84% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.11% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.35% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 5.03% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.66% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-4 @ 3.91% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-4 @ 2.87% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-4 @ 2.66% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-5 @ 1.79% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-4 @ 1.41% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-5 @ 1.31% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-5 @ 1.22% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 55.91%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Arsenal Women 3-0 Leicester Women
Sunday, April 21 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Spurs Ladies 2-1 Leicester Women
Sunday, April 14 at 12pm in Women's FA Cup
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-2 Leicester Women
Saturday, March 30 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Leicester Women 2-3 Brighton Women
Sunday, March 24 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Spurs Ladies 1-0 Leicester Women
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Leicester Women 0-4 Chelsea Women
Sunday, March 3 at 6pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man Utd Women 2-2 Spurs Ladies
Sunday, April 21 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man Utd Women 2-1 Chelsea Women
Sunday, April 14 at 2.35pm in Women's FA Cup
Last Game: Man Utd Women 4-1 Everton Ladies
Sunday, March 31 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City Women 3-1 Man Utd Women
Saturday, March 23 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man Utd Women 2-0 Bristol Women
Sunday, March 17 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Man Utd Women
Sunday, March 3 at 3pm in Women's Super League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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