Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 55.91%. A win for Leicester Women had a probability of 24.24% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.84%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Leicester Women win was 2-1 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.
Result | ||
Leicester Women | Draw | Manchester United Women |
24.24% ( 0.33) | 19.86% ( 0.1) | 55.91% ( -0.43) |
Both teams to score 69.16% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.37% ( -0.16) | 27.63% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.71% ( -0.2) | 48.29% ( 0.2) |
Leicester Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77% ( 0.13) | 23.01% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.19% ( 0.19) | 56.81% ( -0.19) |
Manchester United Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.82% ( -0.16) | 10.18% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.56% ( -0.36) | 33.44% ( 0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Leicester Women | Draw | Manchester United Women |
2-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.06% Total : 24.24% | 1-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 2.46% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.59% Total : 19.86% | 1-2 @ 8.98% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.84% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 5.03% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 3.91% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 2.87% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.66% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 1.79% ( -0.04) 3-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 2-5 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.79% Total : 55.91% |
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