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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
LH

Lens
1 - 1
Le Havre

Frankowski (58')
Gradit (62'), Aguilar (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sabbi (78' pen.)
Ayew (51'), Operi (63'), Kechta (69'), Bayo (90+5'), Toure (90+2'), Bayo (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 2-1 Lens
Friday, March 29 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 0-2 Montpellier
Sunday, March 31 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 2-0 Le Havre

Lens have had a rough few weeks by losing to two direct top-four rivals, but a favourable game on paper should see them return to form this weekend. Le Havre have shown no form whatsoever in recent weeks, and a lack of goals is sinking them deeper into trouble, with away results also a huge concern after a recent defeat at Clermont. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 57.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 19.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result
LensDrawLe Havre
57.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 23.17% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 19.54% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.46% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.96% (0.051000000000002 0.05)49.03% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.88% (0.044 0.04)71.11% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.12% (0.013000000000005 0.01)16.87% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.1% (0.027000000000001 0.03)46.9% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.7% (0.042999999999999 0.04)39.3% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24% (0.041 0.04)76% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Lens 57.27%
    Le Havre 19.54%
    Draw 23.17%
LensDrawLe Havre
1-0 @ 11.79% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 6.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.82% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 2.77%
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 57.27%
1-1 @ 11.02%
0-0 @ 6.63% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.58% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 23.17%
0-1 @ 6.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.89% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.43% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 0.9% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 19.54%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Lens
Friday, March 29 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 1-3 Nice
Saturday, March 16 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 1-0 Brest
Saturday, March 9 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 0-3 Lens
Sunday, March 3 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 2-3 Monaco
Sunday, February 25 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Freiburg 3-2 Lens
Thursday, February 22 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Le Havre 0-2 Montpellier
Sunday, March 31 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 2-1 Le Havre
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 1-0 Toulouse
Sunday, March 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-0 Le Havre
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 1-2 Reims
Sunday, February 25 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 3-0 Le Havre
Saturday, February 17 at 4pm in Ligue 1


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