SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Lens |
36.02% ( -1.27) | 25.87% ( 0.22) | 38.11% ( 1.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.64% ( -0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.36% ( -1) | 49.64% ( 1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.34% ( -0.9) | 71.66% ( 0.9) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.33% ( -1.19) | 26.67% ( 1.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.09% ( -1.6) | 61.91% ( 1.6) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.51% ( 0.12) | 25.49% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.67% ( 0.16) | 60.33% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.16% Total : 36.02% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.3)1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.53% Total : 38.11% |
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