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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Oceane
T

Le Havre
1 - 0
Toulouse

Operi (60')
Operi (84'), Ngoura (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Keben (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Le Havre 1-2 Toulouse

Barring their Europa League disappointment against Benfica last month, Toulouse are arguably in the best form we have seen all season and come into this match having beaten three of the top five sides in succession. Le Havre, on the other hand, have lost four on the bounce ahead of this match and we feel they are likely to suffer a fifth consecutive defeat in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Le Havre in this match.

Result
Le HavreDrawToulouse
41.12% (0.202 0.2) 25.88% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05) 33% (-0.142 -0.14)
Both teams to score 54.06% (0.14 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.86% (0.202 0.2)50.14% (-0.194 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.89% (0.177 0.18)72.11% (-0.17 -0.17)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.87% (0.193 0.19)24.13% (-0.186 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.57% (0.274 0.27)58.43% (-0.266 -0.27)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.24% (0.007000000000005 0.01)28.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.4% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)64.6% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Le Havre 41.12%
    Toulouse 33%
    Draw 25.88%
Le HavreDrawToulouse
1-0 @ 9.86% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.74% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.01% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.14% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.32% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.47% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 41.12%
1-1 @ 12.29% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.94% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 8.65% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-2 @ 7.66% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.39% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.18% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.24% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 33%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Brest 1-0 Le Havre
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 1-2 Reims
Sunday, February 25 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 3-0 Le Havre
Saturday, February 17 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 0-1 Rennes
Sunday, February 11 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 3-1 Le Havre
Wednesday, February 7 at 7.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Monaco 1-1 Le Havre
Sunday, February 4 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 2-1 Nice
Sunday, March 3 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 3-1 Lille
Sunday, February 25 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 0-0 Benfica
Thursday, February 22 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Monaco 1-2 Toulouse
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Benfica 2-1 Toulouse
Thursday, February 15 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Toulouse 1-2 Nantes
Sunday, February 11 at 2pm in Ligue 1


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