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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Gabriel Montpied
LH

Clermont
2 - 1
Le Havre

Cham (12', 45+5' pen.)
Rashani (30'), Keita (31'), Carpini (47'), Gastien (47')
Rashani (30')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ayew (45+1')
Targhalline (34'), Lloris (45+3'), Sangante (58'), Kechta (90+7')
Targhalline (66')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Metz 1-0 Clermont
Sunday, March 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Clermont 1-1 Le Havre

Neither side has shown enough to suggest they can be relied on to pick maximum points this weekend, pointing to a draw as a likely outcome at the Montpied. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Clermont would win this match.

Result
ClermontDrawLe Havre
38.35% (0.13 0.13) 26.83% (-0.41 -0.41) 34.82% (0.279 0.28)
Both teams to score 51.37% (1.319 1.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.25% (1.653 1.65)53.75% (-1.651 -1.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.77% (1.373 1.37)75.23% (-1.372 -1.37)
Clermont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.73% (0.85900000000001 0.86)27.27% (-0.858 -0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.3% (1.103 1.1)62.7% (-1.102 -1.1)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.63% (0.99299999999999 0.99)29.37% (-0.992 -0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.64% (1.201 1.2)65.35% (-1.199 -1.2)
Score Analysis
    Clermont 38.34%
    Le Havre 34.83%
    Draw 26.83%
ClermontDrawLe Havre
1-0 @ 10.4% (-0.43 -0.43)
2-1 @ 8.28% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
2-0 @ 6.76% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-1 @ 3.59% (0.127 0.13)
3-0 @ 2.93% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.134 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.17% (0.068 0.07)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 38.34%
1-1 @ 12.75% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 8.01% (-0.532 -0.53)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.194 0.19)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 9.81% (-0.358 -0.36)
1-2 @ 7.81% (0.116 0.12)
0-2 @ 6.01% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.19% (0.133 0.13)
0-3 @ 2.46% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.134 0.13)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 34.83%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Metz 1-0 Clermont
Sunday, March 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 1-5 Marseille
Saturday, March 2 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 0-0 Clermont
Sunday, February 25 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 3-1 Clermont
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 1-1 Brest
Sunday, February 11 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 4-0 Clermont
Sunday, February 4 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 1-0 Toulouse
Sunday, March 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-0 Le Havre
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 1-2 Reims
Sunday, February 25 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 3-0 Le Havre
Saturday, February 17 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 0-1 Rennes
Sunday, February 11 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 3-1 Le Havre
Wednesday, February 7 at 7.30pm in Coupe de France


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