SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 61.87%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 14.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.67%) and 1-2 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Lesotho win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Morocco in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Morocco.
| Result | ||
| Lesotho | Draw | Morocco |
14.26% ( 0.23) | 23.87% ( 0.48) | 61.87% ( -0.72) |
| Both teams to score 38.75% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.73% ( -1.24) | 59.27% ( 1.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.32% ( -0.96) | 79.68% ( 0.96) |
| Lesotho Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.82% ( -0.4) | 52.18% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.88% ( -0.27) | 86.12% ( 0.26) |
| Morocco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.03% ( -0.73) | 18.97% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.49% ( -1.22) | 50.51% ( 1.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lesotho | Draw | Morocco |
| 1-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 3.48% 2-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.25% Total : 14.26% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.45)2-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.86% | 0-1 @ 16.45% ( 0.38) 0-2 @ 13.67% 1-2 @ 8.9% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 7.58% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 4.93% ( -0.17)0-4 @ 3.15% ( -0.15)1-4 @ 2.05% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.08)0-5 @ 1.05% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.49% Total : 61.86% |
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