Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
2 | Guinea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
3 | Malawi | 3 | 0 | 4 |
4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lesotho win with a probability of 52.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lesotho win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.31%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 1-0 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lesotho would win this match.
Result | ||
Zimbabwe | Draw | Lesotho |
22.1% (![]() | 25.72% (![]() | 52.18% (![]() |
Both teams to score 46.63% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.03% (![]() | 55.97% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.94% (![]() | 77.06% (![]() |
Zimbabwe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.4% (![]() | 40.6% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.81% (![]() | 77.19% (![]() |
Lesotho Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.5% (![]() | 21.5% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.45% (![]() | 54.55% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Zimbabwe | Draw | Lesotho |
1-0 @ 7.87% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.45% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.55% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.64% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.26% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 1.27% Total : 22.1% | 1-1 @ 12.09% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.73% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.19% ( ![]() Other @ 0.7% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 13.41% (![]() 0-2 @ 10.31% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.3% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.28% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.76% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.03% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.83% ( ![]() Other @ 3.11% Total : 52.17% |
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