The Atlas Lions are unbeaten in exhibition games since a 3-0 loss to the USA in June 2022, an almost two-year run they hope to continue on Friday. We expect them to continue this run next Tuesday as they will be too strong for Mauritania.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 59.93%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 14.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.84%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.76%), while for a Mauritania win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.02) 
