SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Birmingham City |
37.45% ( -0.54) | 26.42% ( -0.01) | 36.13% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 52.81% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.02% ( 0.07) | 51.97% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.28% ( 0.07) | 73.71% ( -0.06) |
| Leyton Orient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.06% ( -0.27) | 26.94% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.72% ( -0.36) | 62.28% ( 0.36) |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.29% ( 0.37) | 27.71% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.72% ( 0.47) | 63.27% ( -0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 1-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.18% Total : 37.45% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.89% Total : 36.13% |
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