Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
32.62% ( -2.26) | 27.04% ( 0.57) | 40.35% ( 1.69) |
Both teams to score 50.26% ( -2.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.05% ( -2.67) | 54.95% ( 2.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.77% ( -2.25) | 76.23% ( 2.26) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.59% ( -2.79) | 31.41% ( 2.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.22% ( -3.36) | 67.78% ( 3.36) |
West Bromwich Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.28% ( -0.31) | 26.72% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.02% ( -0.41) | 61.98% ( 0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.45) 2-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.42) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.3) Other @ 2.91% Total : 32.62% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.84) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.34) Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 11.07% ( 1.01) 1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.61) 1-3 @ 3.72% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.24) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.11% Total : 40.34% |
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