Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 48.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Linares Deportivo had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.5%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Linares Deportivo win it was 1-0 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.