SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 48.82%. A win for Elche had a probability of 25.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Elche win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Elche |
48.82% ( 0.77) | 25.51% ( -0.21) | 25.66% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 50.89% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.75% ( 0.44) | 52.24% ( -0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.05% ( 0.37) | 73.95% ( -0.37) |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.58% ( 0.52) | 21.42% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.58% ( 0.79) | 54.42% ( -0.79) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.76% ( -0.23) | 35.24% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28% ( -0.24) | 71.99% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Espanyol | Draw | Elche |
| 1-0 @ 11.63% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.38% Total : 48.82% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.04% Total : 25.66% |
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