SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 43.49%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 27.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%), while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 0-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
43.49% ( -0.13) | 28.92% ( 0.38) | 27.59% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 42.9% ( -1.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.81% ( -1.32) | 63.18% ( 1.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.4% ( -0.96) | 82.6% ( 0.96) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.08% ( -0.71) | 28.92% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.2% ( -0.88) | 64.8% ( 0.88) |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.36% ( -0.95) | 39.64% ( 0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.68% ( -0.89) | 76.32% ( 0.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elche | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
| 1-0 @ 14.22% ( 0.41) 2-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.52% Total : 43.49% | 1-1 @ 13.16% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.55)2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.52% Total : 28.92% | 0-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.42% Total : 27.58% |
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