SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alcorcon win with a probability of 46.81%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Elche had a probability of 25.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alcorcon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alcorcon | Draw | Elche |
46.81% ( 0.66) | 27.35% ( -0.24) | 25.84% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 45.84% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.12% ( 0.58) | 58.87% ( -0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.62% ( 0.45) | 79.37% ( -0.45) |
| Alcorcon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.81% ( 0.59) | 25.19% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.08% ( 0.81) | 59.91% ( -0.81) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.27% ( -0.05) | 38.72% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.54% ( -0.04) | 75.46% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alcorcon | Draw | Elche |
| 1-0 @ 13.44% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.21% Total : 46.8% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 9.75% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.34% | 0-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.53% Total : 25.84% |
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