SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 57.25%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Amorebieta had a probability of 18.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for an Amorebieta win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Amorebieta |
57.25% ( 0.59) | 24.33% ( 0.49) | 18.41% ( -1.07) |
| Both teams to score 45.27% ( -3.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45% ( -3.2) | 55% ( 3.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.73% ( -2.7) | 76.27% ( 2.71) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.92% ( -0.98) | 19.09% ( 0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.31% ( -1.65) | 50.7% ( 1.65) |
| Amorebieta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.94% ( -3.1) | 44.06% ( 3.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.83% ( -2.65) | 80.17% ( 2.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elche | Draw | Amorebieta |
| 1-0 @ 13.92% ( 1.25) 2-0 @ 11.53% ( 0.71)2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.29)4-0 @ 2.64% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.32)Other @ 3.82% Total : 57.24% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.99)2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.44)Other @ 0.64% Total : 24.33% | 0-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.37)0-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.23)Other @ 1.68% Total : 18.41% |
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