Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 57.25%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Amorebieta had a probability of 18.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for an Amorebieta win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.
0.59) 
-1.07) 
