Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Reading had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
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