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League One | Gameweek 13
Dec 12, 2023 at 8pm UK
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OU

Reading
1 - 1
Oxford Utd

Smith (43')
Craig (19'), Holmes (51')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Brown (39')
Thorniley (37')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 1-3 Barnsley
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 3-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League One

We said: Reading 1-2 Oxford United

Although the U's have failed to win any of their opening three league games under Buckingham, we think that they will have the extra quality required to beat a Reading side that are languishing in the relegation zone. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Reading had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Reading win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
ReadingDrawOxford United
35.91% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 24.53% (0.0019999999999989 0) 39.57% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Both teams to score 59.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.48% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)43.51% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.09% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)65.91% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.12% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)23.88% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.92% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)58.07% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.01% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)21.98% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.71% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)55.29% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Reading 35.91%
    Oxford United 39.57%
    Draw 24.52%
ReadingDrawOxford United
2-1 @ 8.16%
1-0 @ 7.52% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.38% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.89%
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 2.57%
4-1 @ 1.39% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.06%
4-0 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 35.91%
1-1 @ 11.38%
2-2 @ 6.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.52%
1-2 @ 8.63%
0-1 @ 7.95% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.02% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 4.36%
2-3 @ 3.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 3.04%
1-4 @ 1.65%
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 39.57%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Reading 1-3 Barnsley
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 1-1 Charlton (4-2 pen.)
Wednesday, December 6 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Eastleigh 2-1 Reading
Sunday, December 3 at 1.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Reading 5-1 Carlisle
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 1-2 Reading
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 5-2 Arsenal U21s
Tuesday, November 14 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Peterborough 3-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 0-1 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, December 5 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-0 Bolton
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-3 Oxford Utd
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One


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