While Reading have managed to avoid defeat in their last two matches in all competitions, they have not been able to record a single point in an away match this term. They now face an opponent that have been fairly good in defence on their home patch despite not carrying much threat at the other end of the pitch. We are backing a narrow home win in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Reading had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.
0.12) 
-0.03) 
