SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 48.33%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.68%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 2-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Reading |
28.71% ( -0.13) | 22.95% ( -0.11) | 48.33% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 61.95% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.16% ( 0.43) | 38.83% ( -0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.85% ( 0.45) | 61.14% ( -0.45) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.07% ( 0.13) | 25.93% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.07% ( 0.18) | 60.93% ( -0.18) |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.63% ( 0.25) | 16.36% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.01% ( 0.45) | 45.98% ( -0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Reading |
| 2-1 @ 7% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.15% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 28.71% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.95% | 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5.66% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 2.56% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.04)1-5 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.53% Total : 48.33% |
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