Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Reading | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
42.12% ( 2.37) | 24.4% ( -0.36) | 33.47% ( -2.01) |
Both teams to score 59.27% ( 0.82) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.56% ( 1.27) | 43.43% ( -1.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.17% ( 1.24) | 65.83% ( -1.24) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.25% ( 1.67) | 20.74% ( -1.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.63% ( 2.57) | 53.37% ( -2.57) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.78% ( -0.56) | 25.22% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.04% ( -0.78) | 59.96% ( 0.77) |
Score Analysis |
Reading | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.26) 1-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.36) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.31) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.23) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.18) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.78% Total : 42.12% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.3) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.4% | 1-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.29) 0-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.53) 0-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.45) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.25) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.61% Total : 33.47% |
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