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League One | Gameweek 7
Nov 7, 2023 at 8pm UK
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Reading
1 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Smith (40')
Savage (24'), Hutchinson (49'), Craig (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Martin (57')
Mangan (25'), Finley (82')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Reading 1-1 Bristol Rovers

With two struggling sides going head-to-head, wins for both over the weekend could bring the confidence they need to pick up some much-needed points. While Bristol Rovers are the slight favourites, it is set to be a close encounter in what could be Mangan's last game in caretaker charge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
ReadingDrawBristol Rovers
42.12% (2.37 2.37) 24.4% (-0.363 -0.36) 33.47% (-2.011 -2.01)
Both teams to score 59.27% (0.819 0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.56% (1.266 1.27)43.43% (-1.27 -1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.17% (1.235 1.24)65.83% (-1.239 -1.24)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.25% (1.67 1.67)20.74% (-1.675 -1.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.63% (2.565 2.57)53.37% (-2.568 -2.57)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.78% (-0.56100000000001 -0.56)25.22% (0.556 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.04% (-0.77500000000001 -0.78)59.96% (0.773 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Reading 42.12%
    Bristol Rovers 33.47%
    Draw 24.4%
ReadingDrawBristol Rovers
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.262 0.26)
1-0 @ 8.23% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.47% (0.29 0.29)
3-1 @ 4.68% (0.362 0.36)
3-0 @ 3.39% (0.312 0.31)
3-2 @ 3.22% (0.201 0.2)
4-1 @ 1.84% (0.225 0.23)
4-0 @ 1.33% (0.182 0.18)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.137 0.14)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 42.12%
1-1 @ 11.33% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-2 @ 6.14% (0.084 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.23% (-0.297 -0.3)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.4%
1-2 @ 7.81% (-0.293 -0.29)
0-1 @ 7.21% (-0.533 -0.53)
0-2 @ 4.96% (-0.454 -0.45)
1-3 @ 3.59% (-0.195 -0.2)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.28% (-0.249 -0.25)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 33.47%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Reading 3-2 MK Dons
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Reading 2-3 Portsmouth
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 1-2 Fleetwood
Tuesday, October 24 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 4-0 Reading
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 5-0 Swindon
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-1 Reading
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 7-2 Whitby
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-1 Northampton
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Stevenage
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 4-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, October 7 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-0 Port Vale
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One


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