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EFL Trophy | Second Round
Dec 12, 2023 at 7pm UK
Wham Stadium
LC

Accrington
1 - 0
Lincoln

Longelo-Mbule (90+3')
Henderson (23'), Woods (43')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Duffy (73'), Roughan (90+1')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Second Round clash between Accrington Stanley and Lincoln City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 0-0 Lincoln
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Accrington Stanley in this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawLincoln City
39.49% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 26.37% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 34.14% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.72% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.02% (0.016999999999996 0.02)51.98% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.28% (0.015000000000001 0.02)73.72% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.19% (0.016000000000005 0.02)25.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.23% (0.024999999999999 0.02)60.77% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.07% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)28.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.18% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)64.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 39.49%
    Lincoln City 34.14%
    Draw 26.37%
Accrington StanleyDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 10.11%
2-1 @ 8.5% (0.0029999999999983 0)
2-0 @ 6.85% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.09% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 39.49%
1-1 @ 12.54%
0-0 @ 7.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 9.26% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.78% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 5.74% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 34.14%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Accrington 0-0 Doncaster
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 3-4 Swindon
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-0 Accrington
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 1-2 Forest U21s
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Accrington 2-0 Wrexham
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 1-2 Doncaster
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Wigan 0-0 Lincoln
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-3 Lincoln
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 2-2 Barnsley
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Lincoln
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Port Vale
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One


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