SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 46.78%. A win for Liverpool Under-21s had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.79%) and 2-3 (4.94%). The likeliest Liverpool Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool Under-21s | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
32.2% ( 0.26) | 21.02% ( 0.04) | 46.78% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 71.57% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.8% ( -0.08) | 27.19% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.27% ( -0.1) | 47.73% ( 0.1) |
| Liverpool Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.83% ( 0.09) | 18.16% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.85% ( 0.15) | 49.14% ( -0.16) |
| Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.45% ( -0.12) | 12.55% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.41% ( -0.25) | 38.59% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool Under-21s | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 3.66% Total : 32.2% | 1-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.81% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.72% Total : 21.02% | 1-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.79% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 4.94% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.02)0-1 @ 4.73% 0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 3.01% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 2.56% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.03)3-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)2-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.53% Total : 46.78% |
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