Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 55.32%. A win for Manchester City Under-21s had a probability of 24.66% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.78%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Manchester City Under-21s | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
24.66% ( -0.26) | 20.01% ( 0.04) | 55.32% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 69.08% ( -0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.06% ( -0.51) | 27.93% ( 0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.33% ( -0.63) | 48.66% ( 0.63) |
Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.12% ( -0.46) | 22.88% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.37% ( -0.68) | 56.62% ( 0.68) |
Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.57% ( -0.11) | 10.42% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.01% ( -0.25) | 33.99% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Manchester City Under-21s | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
2-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.1% Total : 24.66% | 1-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.59% Total : 20.01% | 1-2 @ 8.99% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 6.78% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 5% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 4.6% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 3.83% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.83% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 2.6% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.04) 2-5 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.64% Total : 55.32% |
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