SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Sunderland Under-21s had a probability of 38.98% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (4.89%) and 3-2 (4.58%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Under-21s | Draw | Sunderland Under-21s |
39.61% ( 0.01) | 21.4% ( -0.02) | 38.98% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 71.85% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.51% ( 0.11) | 27.49% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.9% ( 0.13) | 48.1% ( -0.13) |
| Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.89% ( 0.05) | 15.11% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.33% ( 0.09) | 43.67% ( -0.09) |
| Sunderland Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.64% ( 0.05) | 15.36% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.87% ( 0.09) | 44.13% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Under-21s | Draw | Sunderland Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.61% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 4.18% Total : 39.61% | 1-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 7.27% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.73% Total : 21.4% | 1-2 @ 7.7% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.81% ( 0)2-3 @ 4.54% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.54% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.25% ( 0)2-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 4.06% Total : 38.98% |
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