SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 51.14%. A win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.3%) and 2-3 (5.25%). The likeliest Leicester City Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City Under-21s | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
28.69% ( -0.06) | 20.18% | 51.14% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 72.54% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.91% ( -0.04) | 25.09% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.96% ( -0.05) | 45.04% ( 0.05) |
| Leicester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.1% ( -0.05) | 18.9% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.61% ( -0.08) | 50.39% ( 0.08) |
| Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.44% ( 0) | 10.56% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.71% ( 0) | 34.29% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City Under-21s | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 6.23% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 3.32% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.77% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.54% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 3.22% Total : 28.69% | 1-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 7% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.8% Total : 20.18% | 1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.3% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 5.25% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.54% ( 0)2-4 @ 2.95% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.64% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.59% ( 0)2-5 @ 1.33% 0-5 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 3.76% Total : 51.14% |
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