SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 44.24%. A win for Liverpool Under-21s had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.83%) and 2-0 (5.43%). The likeliest Liverpool Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Under-21s | Draw | Liverpool Under-21s |
44.24% ( -0.48) | 22.22% ( 0.02) | 33.53% ( 0.46) |
| Both teams to score 67.44% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.24% ( 0.04) | 32.75% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.56% ( 0.05) | 54.44% ( -0.05) |
| Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.46% ( -0.16) | 15.53% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.54% ( -0.3) | 44.46% ( 0.3) |
| Liverpool Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.85% ( 0.25) | 20.15% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.56% ( 0.41) | 52.43% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Under-21s | Draw | Liverpool Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 1.08% 5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.1% Total : 44.24% | 1-1 @ 9.34% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.96% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.49% Total : 22.22% | 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.99% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.03)3-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.16% Total : 33.53% |
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