SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 64.37%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 16.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 1-0 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-2 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Sevilla |
64.37% ( 0.72) | 18.86% ( -0.11) | 16.77% ( -0.61) |
| Both teams to score 59.91% ( -0.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.98% ( -0.63) | 34.02% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.11% ( -0.71) | 55.89% ( 0.72) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.99% ( -0) | 10.01% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.95% ( -0.01) | 33.05% ( 0.01) |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.57% ( -1.07) | 33.42% ( 1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.95% ( -1.19) | 70.05% ( 1.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Sevilla |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.28)1-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.22)4-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.06)5-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.37% Total : 64.37% | 1-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.26% Total : 18.86% | 1-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.83% Total : 16.77% |
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