With Al Ittihad having already lost to La Liga opposition within the last week, Sevilla will fancy their chances of victory. However, we feel that an entertaining share of the spoils will play out on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 50.78%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.

Result
Sevilla	Draw	Al Ittihad
50.78% ( -0.23)	22.82% ( 0.04)	26.4% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 60.42% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60% (

-0.04)

39.99% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.64% (

-0.04)

62.36% (

0.04)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.08% (

-0.09)

15.92% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.83% (

-0.17)

45.17% (

0.18)

Al Ittihad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.85% (

0.12)

28.15% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.17% (

0.16)

63.83% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Sevilla 50.78%

Al Ittihad 26.4%

Draw 22.81%

Sevilla	Draw	Al Ittihad
2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.73% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.62% Total : 50.78%	1-1 @ 10.43% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.81%	1-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.61% Total : 26.4%