While neither side will want to over-exert themselves in a pre-season friendly, we expect a competitive match as the two sides fight for bragging rights ahead of the new season.
Despite both sides missing a number of stars, Arsenal will be boosted by Liverpool's depleted defence, and we expect the Gunners to record a victory here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.27%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Liverpool in this match.
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