SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 73.62%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 12.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 3-1 with a probability of 8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 3-0 (6.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.08%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur win it was 1-2 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur |
73.62% ( 0.6) | 14.01% ( -0.24) | 12.37% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 68.3% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 80.69% ( 0.33) | 19.31% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 62.9% ( 0.48) | 37.1% ( -0.47) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.38% ( 0.16) | 4.62% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 81.19% ( 0.48) | 18.81% ( -0.48) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.6% ( -0.19) | 28.4% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.85% ( -0.24) | 64.15% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 3-1 @ 8% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.08)1-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.09)5-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.08)5-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.04)6-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.06)4-3 @ 1.63% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.06)6-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.03)5-3 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.77% Total : 73.62% | 1-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.6% Total : 14.01% | 1-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.04)0-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.08% Total : 12.37% |
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