SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 49.59%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.07%) and 2-3 (5.41%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 2-1 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Liverpool |
30.45% ( 0.44) | 19.95% ( -0.39) | 49.59% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 74.75% ( 1.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.21% ( 2.2) | 22.78% ( -2.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 58.03% ( 2.94) | 41.97% ( -2.94) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.19% ( 1.35) | 16.8% ( -1.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.22% ( 2.35) | 46.77% ( -2.36) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.85% ( 0.77) | 10.15% ( -0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.63% ( 1.73) | 33.37% ( -1.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.06)1-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.34)2-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.17)4-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.17)Other @ 4.01% Total : 30.45% | 2-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.02) 1-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.53)3-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.25)0-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.28)Other @ 0.97% Total : 19.95% | 1-2 @ 7.96% ( -0.34) 1-3 @ 6.07% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 5.41% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.4)0-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.49)1-4 @ 3.47% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.19)2-4 @ 3.1% ( 0.2)0-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.04)3-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.2)1-5 @ 1.59% ( 0.09)2-5 @ 1.42% ( 0.14)Other @ 5.02% Total : 49.59% |
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