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La Liga | Gameweek 38
May 26, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
BL

Sevilla
1 - 2
Barcelona

En-Nesyri (31')
Salas (36'), Ocampos (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lewandowski (15'), Lopez (59')
Cancelo (49')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Sevilla
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in La Liga

We said: Sevilla 0-2 Barcelona

Barcelona's nine clean sheets from their last 12 La Liga matches is as many as Xavi's men had managed in their previous 30, and that record should read 10 from 13 by the close of play on Sunday. Ravaged by injuries and ending the season with a whimper, Sevilla should not put up much resistance against an in-form Blaugrana crop, who should give Xavi the perfect send-off. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 47.28%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Barcelona in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.

Result
SevillaDrawBarcelona
29.07% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 23.65% (0.23 0.23) 47.28% (-0.261 -0.26)
Both teams to score 59.71% (-0.79 -0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.1% (-1.051 -1.05)41.89% (1.052 1.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.7% (-1.065 -1.07)64.3% (1.067 1.07)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.76% (-0.508 -0.51)27.24% (0.509 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.33% (-0.66699999999999 -0.67)62.66% (0.668 0.67)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06% (-0.50800000000001 -0.51)17.93% (0.509 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.25% (-0.878 -0.88)48.75% (0.879 0.88)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 29.07%
    Barcelona 47.28%
    Draw 23.64%
SevillaDrawBarcelona
2-1 @ 7.1% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.35% (0.208 0.21)
2-0 @ 4.13% (0.077 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.08% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.79% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 29.07%
1-1 @ 10.91% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 6.1% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-0 @ 4.88% (0.227 0.23)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.64%
1-2 @ 9.38% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 8.39% (0.256 0.26)
0-2 @ 7.21% (0.104 0.1)
1-3 @ 5.37% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-3 @ 4.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.5% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-4 @ 2.31% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.78% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.5% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 47.28%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Sevilla
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 0-1 Cadiz
Wednesday, May 15 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 3-2 Sevilla
Saturday, May 11 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 3-0 Granada
Sunday, May 5 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Betis 1-1 Sevilla
Sunday, April 28 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 2-1 Mallorca
Monday, April 22 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 3-0 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 0-2 Barcelona
Thursday, May 16 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 2-0 Real Sociedad
Monday, May 13 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Girona 4-2 Barcelona
Saturday, May 4 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 4-2 Valencia
Monday, April 29 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-2 Barcelona
Sunday, April 21 at 8pm in La Liga


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