SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | St Johnstone |
38.87% ( -0.03) | 28.82% ( 0.19) | 32.3% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 45% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.49% ( -0.67) | 61.5% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.63% ( -0.5) | 81.37% ( 0.5) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.27% ( -0.36) | 30.72% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.01% ( -0.42) | 66.98% ( 0.42) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.95% ( -0.47) | 35.04% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.21% ( -0.5) | 71.79% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 12.7% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.23% Total : 38.87% | 1-1 @ 13.32% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.82% | 0-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 6.99% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.92% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.15% Total : 32.3% |
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