Given that St Johnstone have collected more than 60% of their points on the road this season, we can see the visitors enhancing their impressive away record with a narrow victory over Livingston, who are on course to suffer a third defeat in five home games.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
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