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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 38
May 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
McDiarmid Park
LL

St Johnstone
2 - 0
Livingston

Wright (17'), Kane (68' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Penrice (40'), de Lucas (66'), Kelly (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ross County 3-3 St Johnstone
Wednesday, May 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 1-1 Motherwell
Wednesday, May 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: St Johnstone 1-1 Livingston

There is not much to separate these two teams heading into this match, and with nothing on the line for them it could lead to a careful draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Johnstone would win this match.

Result
St JohnstoneDrawLivingston
43.96% (0.065999999999995 0.07) 26.42% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07) 29.62% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.93% (0.226 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.46% (0.291 0.29)53.54% (-0.287 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.95% (0.244 0.24)75.05% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.79% (0.161 0.16)24.21% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.45% (0.228 0.23)58.55% (-0.22600000000001 -0.23)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.19% (0.15599999999999 0.16)32.81% (-0.155 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.63% (0.173 0.17)69.37% (-0.17 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    St Johnstone 43.95%
    Livingston 29.62%
    Draw 26.42%
St JohnstoneDrawLivingston
1-0 @ 11.26% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.91% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.99% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.21% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.78% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 43.95%
1-1 @ 12.55% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.94% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 8.85% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 29.62%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ross County 3-3 St Johnstone
Wednesday, May 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 0-1 St Johnstone
Saturday, May 20 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 0-2 Motherwell
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 1-0 Dundee Utd
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 1-1 Hibernian
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 2-0 St Johnstone
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 1-1 Motherwell
Wednesday, May 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 2-1 Dundee Utd
Saturday, May 20 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-0 Livingston
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Ross County 2-0 Livingston
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee Utd 2-0 Livingston
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 2-0 St Johnstone
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership


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