SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 73.29%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Yverdon Sport had a probability of 10.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 3-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.38%), while for a Yverdon Sport win it was 1-2 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lugano in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | Yverdon Sport |
73.29% ( 0.58) | 15.91% ( -0.23) | 10.79% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 53.38% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.86% ( 0.13) | 34.14% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.97% ( 0.15) | 56.02% ( -0.16) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.97% ( 0.15) | 8.02% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.73% ( 0.39) | 28.26% ( -0.4) |
| Yverdon Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.04% ( -0.52) | 41.96% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.6% ( -0.45) | 78.4% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugano | Draw | Yverdon Sport |
| 2-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.14)1-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.05)5-2 @ 1.08% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.1% Total : 73.29% | 1-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 15.91% | 1-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.3% Total : 10.79% |
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